When things go "Blinken"

Secretary of the Security Council of Russia Nikolai Patrushev once again discussed with the Assistant to the US President for National Security Jake Sullivan the prospects for Russian-American relations, as well as the possibility of holding a summit meeting.

Earlier, Joe Biden confirmed his desire to build stable and predictable relations with Russia, and to begin with, personally meet with Vladimir Putin, the correspondent of The Moscow Post reports.

The previous conversation between Patrushev and Sullivan took place on April 19. Note that all these telephone negotiations are initiated by the American side. And almost simultaneously, Mr. Sullivan, a native of Ms. Clinton's team, confident in the irreplaceability of America's "global leadership," does not hesitate to support the "Berlin patient," even threatens Moscow with "consequences" if something goes wrong.

Assuming that something can go wrong is quite possible. Moreover, if the United States is ready to support a conspiracy against the allied state for Russia, intentions to disable the energy system.

Blinken Star Hour

Only one thing can be said about this: Russia has two "patients." The first and main of them is the United States, represented by current senior representatives of the Biden administration. Secretary of State Blinken believes that "a courageous response to Russia's subversive actions on Czech soil" has increased the security of both Prague and NATO. It turns out that the United States and its allies deliberately prevent Russia from escaping the conflict, impose confrontation.

Biden once called Blinken a "superstar," which you do not entrust, will do everything! This may be the case, but not in the Russian direction. Russia, this is not France, which Tony loves, in whose language he gladly speaks, but he does not remember or simply does not know about Napoleon and his "experience" in Russia. Blinken also does not realize that the policy of "stick and carrot," the policy of containing Russia will not work.

It is worrying that the US Secretary of State takes a place in the hierarchy immediately after the president and vice president. Given Biden's international experience, Blinken can be considered a "technical" secretary of state. But it was he, as the chief of staff of the Senate Foreign Policy Committee in 2002-2008, who developed the project of the "new Ukraine," supported the US intervention in Syria and Libya. Syria seems to have got out of its intellectual-strategic embrace. With the "new Ukraine" and Libya, things are more difficult.

Relatively speaking, Blinken's "energetic ingenuity," his comparative youth compared to Biden, poses a latent problem for the United States itself, a threat to its real, rather than engineered, interests in the state department.

It is far from easy to understand the true intentions of the new US administration towards Russia. Everything is extremely confusing and unpredictable, similar to a poker game. The main thing is not clear what the White House would like? It is possible that the inhabitants of this monument of architecture and American self-love secretly dream that Russia will "disappear," taking with it its entire arsenal, including nuclear warheads, as well as the taiga with bears - Vladimir Putin's favorites. History in American schools is poorly taught, and these hopes are not destined to come true, as even Biden himself believes.

Biden did not rise to Russia

Speaking in Washington in 2018 at a meeting of the Council on Foreign Relations, Biden admitted: "I would not like to be at the head of Russia. Look at the state of the country now - it is in a monstrous decline, no matter how cool. They are skyrocketing down the slope. The only question is when they will come to the finish line. What do you do if you are a democratic leader of Russia? What should I do? Where to go? How do you create jobs and rebuild the country, like without establishing relations with the West? "

There is unwittingly a suspicion that the Biden-Blinken-Sullivan group is almost a religious sect from politics. If the facts do not correspond to the ideas of the sect about the world around, one should not believe the facts, but the ideas, the members of this group say during their ritual sessions.

It is clear that the verbal tinsel of the "idealist democrats" does not get along well with real work on existing problems. And the problems were and appear, despite all the "stardom" of Blinken, Biden's experience and Sullivan's beliefs.

Verbal flow "reflects the essence of Biden's rule. He says nothing, tweets about nothing, "said Democratic Senator Ted Cruz, who competed with Biden in the Democratic Party nomination for presidential candidate. And he said these words after Biden's recent speech in Congress.

For both America and Russia, life inevitably carries new threats, the risks of new conflicts, and exacerbates existing contradictions. The US policy towards Ukraine and its south-east may well become a wick to the powder barrel of the civil conflict in this country. NATO "Defender of Europe 2021" maneuvers at Russian borders also do not contribute to stability or predictability. The road map for Ukraine to join NATO cannot but call an answer.

Despite the extension of the DSNV, more negative than positive has accumulated in relations between Moscow and Washington, said presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov, commenting on the results of Biden's first hundred days in power. Verbal interference ruins hopes of "predictability," and "stability" can also become a victim.

Meet and talk

But Washington is in a hurry, rushing others. For the Democratic-led White House, the first half of the year of "world leadership" expires. In order to prove the correctness of the strategy of collective confrontation against the "autocracies," it is important to hold talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping, to witness, as they say, the very fact of "global influence."

Planning is not harmful. Summit proposed. You can't postpone dating. Commentators often speak about punctuation signs in a combination of these words. From the point of view of voluntary advisers, there are only two options for a solution. The question is what can follow a decision.

There may be more options to approach the "choice problem" when you look at the relations between Russia and America in time and space, as well as in the dynamics of their strategic interests and the opportunities, interests and opportunities of China, waiting in the "queue for reception" at Biden.

Russia and China are officially recorded by Washington and the allies as "main opponents," the main sources of threats to the interests of the United States, NATO, and the West as a whole. Both Beijing and Moscow openly decided on their attitude to this situation and have no illusions about possible changes for the better. Both capitals are not ready to tolerate dictates, but are not yet ready, they cannot afford to say no. And to say, sooner or later, you have to. Together or separately, also a question of complex choices, specific circumstances.

It is no coincidence that for the first Russian-American summit meeting after Helsinki, if it takes place, Washington is conducting massive preparations. To begin with, the "outburst" was made personally towards Vladimir Putin in a sensational interview with Biden, then the hype in the media about the events in Ukraine, about the movement of Russian troops in the western regions of Russia was fueled, then ridiculous versions were put forward about the events in the Czech Republic.

The summit with Vladimir Putin is proposed for June. Preparations are in the form of plans to hold a NATO session with Biden. On the stand will stand humbly for a special meeting between the President of the United States and the European Union. These events should encourage collective strategic mobilization, strengthen a sense of correctness, create an information background that benefits the United States. Dmitry Peskov would call it "aggressive solidarity."

Summits from a position of strength?

Biden is likely to speak to Vladimir Putin on behalf of the collective West. The current verbal atmosphere is tense, expectations are inflamed, as before a visit to the head's office. Judging by the tone of the negotiations between Blinken and Sullivan and the PRC delegation in Alaska, the summit meetings may remain in the memory of the leaders for a long time.

As a result of the summits planned by the White House with Moscow and Beijing, Biden and his team must prove to themselves and allies the "correctness" of the policy of pressure on Russia. In the case of China, the evidence will require the ability to organize a confrontation between the entire West and Beijing, but without losing contracts for Western companies, without monetary damage.

It is equally important for President Biden to prove the right to leadership not only in the Euro-Atlantic tussle. And this imprints relations with the world, including Moscow. The risks are great -- positive outcomes, "in the spirit of détente" or "reset," may cause criticism rather than approval. And then there is the movement for the rights of descendants of black slaves, which begins to threaten internal security.

The first summit with Vladimir Putin "owes" to bring Joe Biden success, which will help him meet with the Chinese leader. Biden's team needs a triumph in both directions. But it is most important for the United States to determine how deep and unwavering the partnership between Moscow and Beijing is.